Wednesday, August 30, 2006

Rumsfeld's American Legion Speech, Aug. 29, 2006

Address at the American Legion National Convention

Remarks as Prepared for Delivery by Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld, Salt Lake City, Utah, Tuesday, August 29, 2006

Tom [American Legion Commander Tom Bock], I understand that your son is flying a Chinook in Iraq -- following in his dad's proud tradition of military service. Our country is deeply grateful to him -- and to all of you who have children or relatives serving in our nation's military.

They are in our thoughts and prayers. Please tell them we appreciate all they do for our country.

I thank each of you for the love and support you provide for our troops every day.

No one is more proud of those young people than their Commander-in-Chief. I know that President Bush is looking forward to being with you on Thursday.

We are truly fortunate to have a leader of resolve at a time of war. Through all the challenges, he remains the same man who stood atop the rubble of lower Manhattan, with a bullhorn, vowing to fight back; the leader who told a grieving nation that we will never forget what was lost; and the determined President who works every day to fulfill his vow to bring the enemy to justice or to bring justice to the enemy.

Our nation is so fortunate to have the American Legion standing up for all those who are serving our country in this time of testing.

About a year ago, I participated in the dedication of the World War II Memorial in Washington, D.C. And when I looked out into the audience, I could see a great many American Legion caps. It was a reminder of the millions who sacrificed for our country, so many of whom did not come home.

And it was also a reminder of all that American Legionnaires do to for our servicemen and women. Indeed, through nearly nine decades of service, the American Legion continues to find new ways and to undertake new initiatives to embody their motto: "For God and Country."

The Department of Defense is proud to be a partner with you in the "Heroes to Hometowns" program, which is helping severely wounded veterans with job searches, their homes, and other activities to aid the transition to civilian life. Your partnership with the "The America Supports You" campaign helps communities, organizations, and individuals across this nation express their appreciation to our troops, and to their families.

And, on a personal note, I commend the American Legion for its sponsorship of the Boy Scouts. I know there are some places where Boy Scouts are a subject of scorn.

Well, I was a proud Cub Scout, then a Boy Scout; then an Explorer Scout; an Eagle Scout; and, in 1975, a Distinguished Eagle Scout. The Scouts represent some of the best qualities in our great country -- and they certainly deserve our support!

The American Legion has achieved a great deal for our country since its founding in the months following World War I, when those folks came together in a hotel in Europe to find a way to help some of their fellow veterans who would be coming home soon.

Indeed, that year -- 1919 -- turned out to be one of those pivotal junctures in modern history -- with the signing of the Treaty of Versailles and the creation of the League of Nations -- a treaty and an organization intended to make future wars unnecessary and obsolete.

Indeed, 1919 was the beginning of a period where, over time, a very different set of views would come to dominate discourse and thinking in the west.

Over the next decades, a sentiment took root that contended that if only the growing threats that had begun to emerge in Europe and Asia could be appeased, then the carnage and destruction of then-recent memory of World War I might be avoided. It was a time when a certain amount of cynicism and moral confusion set in among the western democracies. When those who warned about a coming crisis -- the rise of fascism and Nazism -- were ridiculed and ignored.

Indeed, in the decades before World War II, a great many argued that the fascist threat was exaggerated -- or that it was someone else's problem. Some nations tried to negotiate a separate peace -- even as the enemy made its deadly ambitions crystal clear.

It was, as Churchill observed, a bit like feeding a crocodile, hoping it would eat you last.

There was a strange innocence in views of the world. Someone recently recalled one U.S. Senator's reaction in September 1939, upon hearing that Hitler had invaded Poland to start World War II. He exclaimed:

"Lord, if only I could have talked with Hitler, all this might have been avoided."

Think of that!

I recount this history because once again we face the same kind of challenges in efforts to confront the rising threat of a new type of fascism.

Today, another enemy -- a different kind of enemy -- has also made clear its intentions -- in places like New York, Washington, D.C., Bali, London, Madrid, and Moscow. But it is apparent that many have still not learned history's lessons.

We need to face the following questions:

With the growing lethality and availability of weapons, can we truly afford to believe that somehow vicious extremists can be appeased?

Can we really continue to think that free countries can negotiate a separate peace with terrorists?

Can we truly afford the luxury of pretending that the threats today are simply "law enforcement" problems, rather than fundamentally different threats, requiring fundamentally different approaches?

And can we truly afford to return to the destructive view that America -- not the enemy -- is the real source of the world's trouble?

These are central questions of our time. And we must face them.

We hear everyday of new plans, new efforts, to murder Americans and other free people. Indeed, the plot recently discovered that would have killed hundreds -- possibly thousands -- of innocent men, women, and children on planes coming from Britain to the United States should have demonstrated to all that the enemy is serious, lethal, and relentless.

But this is still -- in 2006 -- not well recognized or fully understood. It seems that in some quarters there is more of a focus on dividing our country, than acting with unity against the gathering threats.

We find ourselves in a strange time:

When a database search of America's leading newspapers turns up 10 times as many mentions of one of the soldiers at Abu Ghraib who was punished for misconduct, than mentions of Sergeant First Class Paul Ray Smith, the first recipient of the Medal of Honor in the Global War on Terror;

When a senior editor at Newsweek disparagingly refers to the brave volunteers in our Armed Forces as a "mercenary army";

When the former head of CNN accuses the American military of deliberately targeting journalists and the former CNN Baghdad bureau chief admits he concealed reports of Saddam Hussein's crimes when he was in power so CNN could stay in Iraq; and

It is a time when Amnesty International disgracefully refers to the military facility at Guantanamo Bay, which holds terrorists who have vowed to kill Americans and which is arguably the best run and most scrutinized detention facility in the history of warfare, as "the gulag of our times."

Those who know the truth need to speak out against these kinds of myths, and lies, and distortions being told about our troops and our country.

The struggle we are in is too important -- the consequences too severe -- to have the luxury of returning to the old mentality of "Blame America First."

One of the most important things the Legion has done is not only to serve, and assist, and advocate as you've done so superbly for much of the past century -- but also to educate and speak the truth about our country and our military.

Not so long ago, an exhibit on the Enola Gay at the Smithsonian during the 1990s seemed to try to rewrite the history of World War II by portraying the United States as an aggressor. Fortunately, the American Legion was there to lead the effort to set the record straight.

This watchdog role is even more important today in a war that is to a great extent fought in the media on a global stage -- to not allow the lies and the myths be repeated without question or challenge -- so that at least the second and third draft of history will be more accurate than the quick first allegations.

You know from experience that in every war there have been mistakes and setbacks and casualties. War is, as Clemenceau said, a "series of catastrophes that results in victory."

And in every army, there are occasionally bad actors -- the ones who dominate the headlines today -- who don't live up to the standards of their oath and of our country.

But you also know that they are a small percentage of the hundreds of thousands of honorable men and women in all theaters in this struggle who are serving with humanity and decency in the face of constant provocation.

And that is important in this "long war," where any kind of moral and intellectual confusion about who and what is right or wrong can severely weaken the ability of free societies to persevere.

Our enemy knows this well. They frequently invoke the names of Beirut and Somalia -- places they see as examples of American retreat and weakness. And as we have seen most recently -- indeed, this month -- in Lebanon, they design attacks and manipulate the media to try to demoralize public opinion. They doctor photographs of casualties, use civilians as human shields and then provoke an outcry when civilians are accidentally killed in their midst.

The good news is that most of the American people, though understandably influenced by what they read and see in the media, have inner gyroscopes and good centers of gravity.

And I am confident that over time they will evaluate and reflect on what is happening in this struggle and come to wise conclusions.

In Iraq, a country that was brutalized and traumatized by a cruel and dangerous dictatorship is now undertaking the slow, difficult, and uncertain steps to secure a new future, under a representative government -- one that is at peace with its neighbors, rather than a threat to their own people, their neighbors, and to the world.

As the nature of the threat and the conflict in Iraq has changed over these past three years, so have the tactics and deployments. But while military tactics have changed and adapted to the realities on the ground, the strategy has not -- which is to empower the Iraqi people to defend, govern, and rebuild their own country.

The extremists themselves have called Iraq the "epicenter" in the War on Terror. They mean it. And our troops know how important completing the mission is.

A Soldier who recently volunteered for a second tour in Iraq, likely captured the feelings of many of his peers. In an e-mail to friends he wrote:

"I ask that you never take advantage of the liberties guaranteed by the shedding of free blood, never take for granted the freedoms granted by our Constitution. For those liberties would be merely ink on paper were it not for the sacrifice of generations of Americans who heard the call of duty and responded heart, mind and soul with 'Yes, I will.'"

Someday that young man may be a member of the American Legion, attending a convention such as this. I hope he will be. And one day, a future speaker may reflect back on this time of historic choice -- remembering the questions raised as to our country's courage, dedication, and willingness to continue this fight until we have prevailed.

I believe the question is not whether we can win. It is whether we have the will to persevere.

I believe that Americans do have that steel. And that we have learned the lessons of history, the folly of turning a blind eye to danger, and of ignoring our responsibilities. These are lessons you know well -- lessons that your heroism has taught to generations of Americans.

May God bless each of you. May God bless the men and women in uniform and their families. And may God continue to bless our wonderful country.

U2's "One" on Greatest Songs List

"One" on Greatest Songs List

Ed. Note: "One" has topped this list in the past and may very well do so again the next timepolls its readers.

Oasis's "Live Forever" looks all set to live up to its title after being voted the greatest song ever.

The 12-year-old single - the first to demonstrate that the Gallagher brothers could have a tender side as well as bravado and swagger - has beaten classic tracks by the Beatles, U2 and Queen in the Q magazine poll of music fans to identify the all-time greats.

"Live Forever doesn't date. It satisfies a timeless need for communal joy," The Sun quoted a Q

"People said after 'Live Forever,' 'Where are you gonna go after that?' I was like, 'I don't think it's that good.' I think I can do better," Noel Gallagher said.

Oasis also claimed the second spot with their hit "Wonderwall," while two other songs, played by the band "Don't Look Back In Anger" and "Champagne Supernova," also made the top 100.

Nirvana's "Smells Like Teen Spirit" was third in the poll.

While the Beatles' "A Day In The Life" and U2's "One" came in fourth and fifth place respectively.

The Beatles claimed six places in the top 100 songs, the most by any band.

The list of the top ten "All-Time Top 100," as per Q magazine is:

1 Live Forever – Oasis
2 Wonderwall – Oasis
3 Smells Like Teen Spirit – Nirvana
4 A Day In The Life – The Beatles
5 One – U2
6 Bohemian Rhapsody – Queen
7 Love Will Tear Us Apart – Joy Division
8 Stairway To Heaven – Led Zeppelin
9 Bitter Sweet Symphony – The Verve
10 Paranoid Android – Radiohead
Q magazine spokesman as saying.

--ANI

Expat life in Beijing

Stuck in Traffic
Cabs

Monday, August 28, 2006

Flight 93 - savagely funny?

I went to the local dvd "store" today and they had a number of the latest movies and tv shows in stock -- Click, Mi-III, the new Pirates of the Caribbean, Season 5 of 24, lost Season 2, etc. As I was looking at "Flight 93," I noticed something rather odd, or odder than usual.

The front markets the film this way:

"September 11, 2001. Four terrorists wanted to turn flight 93 into a weapon. Forty brave passengers and crew stopped it from reaching its target."

"Four Stars: Terrifving" -- Trhm trlr Boct


The back of the dvd however tells quite a different story.

"Deliciously entertaining. Savagely funny -- Nuts.

Nick Love's follow up to the The Football Factory may well be the best bloke film of the year. -- FHM

Wednesday, August 23, 2006

Excerpt from "The Gospel According to the Beatles," by Steve Turner

The Gospel According to the Beatles

Is the Bush Doctrine Dead?

The president's critics are wrong. That includes the neocons.
by Norman Podhoretz

Bush & Friends


President Bush gestures during a statement after meetings at the National Counterterrorism Center on Tuesday, Aug. 15, 2006 in McLean, Va. From left is Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism Fran Townsend, Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte, Bush, CIA Director Gen. Michael Hayden, and Director of the National Counterterrorism Center Vice Admiral John "Scott" Redd. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

Photo
US President George W. Bush(R) speaks while touring the operations center at the National Counterterrorism Center in McLean, Virginia with CIA Director Gen. Michael Hayden(L), and Director of the center Vice Admiral John 'Scott' Redd. Bush pointed to last week's alleged plot in Britain to bomb US-bound airliners as evidence that the US-led war on terrorism will last "for years to come."(AFP/Tim Sloan)

Photo
President Bush gestures during a statement after meetings at the National Counterterrorism Center on Tuesday, Aug. 15, 2006 in McLean, Va. From left is Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism Fran Townsend, Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte, Bush, CIA Director Gen. Michael Hayden and Director of the National Counterterrorism Center Vice Admiral John 'Scott' Redd. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

New to China

If you're looking for a fun read about a "newbies" experience in China, check out my former colleague, Chris Brooks' blog.

Tuesday, August 15, 2006

President Bush Meets with Counterterrorism Team

President George W. Bush addresses the media at the National Counterterrorism Center in McLean, Va., Aug. 15, 2006. Standing with President Bush are, from left: White House Homeland Security Advisor Frances Townsend; Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte; CIA Director Michael Hayden; and Director of the National Counterterrorism Center Vice Admiral John Scott Redd. White House photo by Paul Morse
President George W. Bush addresses the media at the National Counterterrorism Center in McLean, Va., Aug. 15, 2006. Standing with President Bush are, from left: White House Homeland Security Advisor Frances Townsend; Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte; CIA Director Michael Hayden; and Director of the National Counterterrorism Center Vice Admiral John Scott Redd. White House photo by Paul Morse


THE PRESIDENT: It's been my honor to be here at the NCTC. A couple of observations: One, that of the work being done here by some really fine Americans because from different agencies in our government, America is safer than it has been. But it's not yet safe. The enemy has got an advantage when it comes to attacking our homeland - they've got to be right one time, and we've got to be right a hundred percent of the time to protect the American people.

I'm proud to report that there's a lot of good folks that are working hard to see to it that we're right a hundred percent of the time. And I want to thank all the people in this building and around our government who spend an incredible amount of time and energy and effort to do a very difficult job, and that's to protect the American people.

Recently we saw the fruits of their labor in conjunction with their counterparts in Great Britain. Because of the good work in Great Britain and because of the help of the people there at NCTC, we disrupted a terror plot, a plot where people were willing to kill innocent life to achieve political objectives. And that plot is -- and this building and the work going on here really is indicative of the challenge we face, not only this week, but this year and the years to come, because the United States of America is engaged in a war against a extremist group of folks bound together by an ideology, willing to use terror to achieve their objectives.

Our most solemn duty in the federal government is to protect the American people, and I will assure the American people that we're doing everything in our power to protect you. And we've got some good assets, and the best asset we have is the people, people represented right here in this building.

So I've come to listen and learn and to look at reforms that have been put in place. And I've also come to thank the good people who work here and elsewhere in our government for doing what they are doing.

Thank you very much. (Applause.)

Wednesday, August 09, 2006

Sharing Intelligence Across the Agencies

In the years after the Sept. 11 attacks revealed weaknesses in the way the government's intelligence agencies share and analyze information, the federal government changed the structure of the intelligence community. Its 16 components — many of which are part of the Defense Department — now report to a director of national intelligence. The National Counterterrorism Center integrates the components.

Sharing Intelligence Across the Agencies

Wednesday, May 10, 2006

"blink" snags a Gold SABRE award

To date, “blink” has earned the following awards:
  • Gold SABRE Award for Business-to-Consumer Marketing (New Product), 2005
  • Smart Card Alliance's Financial Payments Innovation Award, 2005
  • Smart Card Alliance's Outstanding Smart Card Achievement Award, 2005
  • Frost & Sullivan’s Contactless Payments Card Product of the Year, 2006
  • Frost & Sullivan’s Excellence in Industrial Technologies Award, 2006
  • Internet Advertising Competition's (IAC) Outstanding Microsite/Landing Page Award, 2006
  • Cards International's Best New Credit Card Product Launch, 2005; and
  • PRWeek’s “10 Product Launches You Couldn’t Miss in 2005.”

Monday, April 03, 2006

Rolling Stones Set To Rock China

More News
Jagger: I'm really excited. We all know that Shanghai is a big important city so we wanted to make sure it's on our itinerary. We don't want to leave it out. Although China as an economic force has been around ... well forever really ... as a place for us to play it's not really been on the map for that long.

Richards: Shanghai? I've always wanted to get there. We're very grateful for being allowed in, we'll stick our noses in and see what's happening. ... I want to buy some of my own bootlegs ... I just want to get a whiff of it and look around and see what's happening, it's all brand new to me ... China will be a bit of an adventure for us, we've never been there before, it's a first and by now we don't get many first.




A Bigger Band
Shanghai Daily, China - Mar 30, 2006

Shanghai builds reputation as cultural entry point to China
CBC.ca, Canada - Mar 31, 2006

Rolling Stones rolls to Shanghai
Xinhua, China - Apr 1, 2006

The Rolling Stones talk about Shanghai (briefly)
Shanghaiist, China


Stones Fans Get What They Want
By GEOFFREY A. FOWLER
April 1, 2006; Page A2

Next Saturday, the Rolling Stones will finally get some satisfaction in China. That is when they will hold their first concert in the communist country, after plans to play there three years ago fell through during China's outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome, or SARS.

But China is getting its own satisfaction from the Stones, too: namely, a chance to show the world that it is opening up.

The Shanghai concert is the latest, most-high-profile sign that China's mandarins are loosening their collars. During the Cultural Revolution, which ended in the 1970s, listening to rock 'n' roll could land a person in jail. Today, China's radio stations blare Taiwan rap and South Korean hip-hop. The Stones join a string of Western acts to play the country in the past year, including Whitney Houston and the Broadway musical "Rent," which deals with subjects such as drug addiction and AIDS -- edgy stuff for China.

Still, not everything goes. In 2003, China cut the Stones' "40 Licks" album to just 36, banning tracks -- including "Honky Tonk Woman," "Brown Sugar" and "Beast of Burden" -- that apparently were too sexually explicit. The concert promoter is playing coy about changes the band has agreed to make to accommodate Chinese sensibilities. Performances of "Honky Tonk Woman" in previous Stones concerts have featured a cartoon animation of an ecstatic woman riding a tongue.

China's Ministry of Culture, which approves all concerts after inspecting a playlist, lyrics and DVD of a previous concert, didn't answer questions about the Stones date.

Lately, China's Communist Party has been showing its paternalistic side in cultural matters. It slapped hefty restrictions on reality-TV shows after it said kids were skipping school to participate in an "American Idol" knockoff called "Super Girl." Such programs should "avoid vulgar or gross styles," said regulators.

A Chinese version of Rolling Stone magazine that launched last month with features on singer Bono and journalist Hunter S. Thompson has already run into legal troubles that could stop it from publishing.

On the other hand, the party has its uses for Mick Jagger, who at 63 years old is just one year younger than Chinese President Hu Jintao. A Stones concert could convey just the sort of multicultural worldliness that China is eager to project before 2008, when the world's eyes will turn to Beijing for the Olympic Games.

When the Rolling Stones land in Shanghai next week, Chinese authorities are scheduled to greet the band at a press conference. No word yet on whether they will stick around for the show.

Write to Geoffrey A. Fowler at geoffrey.fowler@wsj.com

Wednesday, March 15, 2006

Visiting Hong Kong

It's a great city. I just got back and it's pretty cool. It's in the mid-70's and warm, but humid. An easy city to deal with because of the British influence. Everyone speaks English and all the signs are in English. The British driving throws you for a loop as do the electrical converters you need.

Weird that you have to go through customs when you go back and forth between Shanghai, since it's all Chinese now. It's a combination of Hawaii (tropical but more mountainous here) and NYC with all the hi-rises but built on the sides of mountains too. It's quite refreshing actually. It would be a much easier city to live in than Shanghai and much much easier than Beijing or Goungzhou.

You get off the plane and immediately see a Starbucks (there are four total) and then a McDonald's (actually a McCafe) in the terminal after customs with a 7-11, a Disney store for HK Disneyland and bookstores that have U.S. newspapers and magazines. in fact, if you had to be Tom Hanks in Terminal, this is the airport where you'd want to be stuck. The high end shopping is pretty incredible with Bally's, etc. It's definitely tailored to the wealthy, but they do have a Popeye's Chicken and a Burger King

The electricity is a slight pain, as is the money. HK is a different plug than China and it's HKdollars US$1=7.75HK=8RMB Each bank prints their own money so the money all looks different and has different bank names. It's actually very cool in that respect.

I flew Dragon Air (www.dragonair.com) which is like flying in the 80's but the food is better. Guess that's why they're the highest rated airline in China. They serve full meals in courses. You get Hagen-Daaz for desert. You watch Friends on the tvs in English.

Rugby, the sport of titans, is huge. The Rugby Sevens tournament will be starting at the end of March and it's HK's big sporting event. Twenty-four rugby teams of seven from around the world take part in this weekend tournatment in front of 40,000 very rowdy fans. the tournament "was born over pre-luncheon drinks at the venerable old Hong Kong Club on a misty spring day in 1975."

The matches last 7 minutes each way with 2-minute intervals for pool, knock-out matches, Bowl & Plate finals 7 minutes each way with 2-minute intervals; 10 minutes each way for the Cup Final.

Prior to the tournament, the 24 teams are drawn into 6 pools of 4 teams each
Day 1 (12 games) : Each team plays 1 game in their pool
Day 2 (24 games) : Each team plays another 2 games to complete the round-robin pool competition. The group winners and the 2 second placed teams with the best records, progress to the Cup Competition . The 4 remaining second placed teams and the 4 third placed teams with the best records, progress to the Plate Competition . The remaining 8 teams progress to the Bowl Competition.
Day 3 (21 games) : Quarter-finals, semi-finals and finals of each of the Bowl, Plate & Cup Competitions.


Ads for tailor abound in magazines and they're pretty inexpensive. A little pricier than the $82 cashmere and wool four season suits I had made in Shanghai but still a good deal. A wool suit, three matching shirts and 3 matching silk ties will run US$189. A women's suit, three matching blouses and three scarves is also US$189.

Photos 1 (clicking on each photo takes you to more)
Photos 2

Thursday, March 09, 2006

Bonds stats off steroids

If you avg. his HR/season from 1986-1998, he averages 31.61 HR/yr. in the seaons where he didn't take steroids according to this new book.

If you assume he manages that pace over his 20 year career, he would have hit 632 HR through 2005. That would have put him 28 HRs behind Willie Mays and fourth all time.

You have to assume that his SB's would have stayed on pace...or even been higher without the weight gain. If so, he'd still have be the only member of the 500-500 club in the history of MLB.

So, while his steroid use was clearly wrong, should that preclude him from the HOF given what his #'s most likely would have been?

Tuesday, February 28, 2006

articles 2/28

NY Times Magazine
The Freshman

Jihadi Turns Bulldog
The Taliban's Former Spokesman Is Now A Yale Student. Anyone See A Problem With That?

Democracy Angst
What's The Alternative To Promoting Freedom In The Middle East?


Are We Playing for Keeps?

By MICHAEL RUBIN
February 27, 2006; Page A14

On Feb. 22, terrorists bombed the Askariya shrine in Samarra, Iraq. The attack shocked Iraqis and infuriated Shiites. The Iranian government sought to direct public anger toward Washington. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei blamed "intelligence agencies of the occupiers of Iraq and the Zionists." Iran's Arabic-language al-Alam television repeated the accusations on Feb. 23. Because al-Alam is broadcast terrestrially, it is particularly influential among poor Iraqis who cannot afford a satellite dish. Furthermore, Abdul Aziz al-Hakim, leader of the powerful Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq (Sciri), a movement aligned to Tehran, blamed U.S. Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad for the attack. "Certainly he is partly responsible for what happened," Mr. al-Hakim said.

He is not, nor is Washington, despite the U.S. policymaking elite's tendency to self-flagellate. Blame for terrorism rests solely upon its perpetrators and their sponsors. Here, though, the White House has lost focus. While journalists concentrate on the daily blood, Iraqis describe a larger pattern which U.S. officials have failed to acknowledge let alone address: Step-by-step, Iranian authorities are replicating in Iraq the strategy which allowed Hezbollah to take over southern Lebanon in the 1980s. The playbook -- military, economic and information operation -- is almost identical.

Hezbollah's story begins in 1982. As the Israeli army evicted the PLO from Lebanon, Ayatollah Khomeini dispatched his elite Revolutionary Guards to the Bekaa Valley to arm and organize its Shiites. Hezbollah was born. Iranian authorities simultaneously built Islamic Jihad, Hezbollah's Sunni equivalent. (The idea that Shiites do not arm Sunnis is taken far more seriously in Langley than in Lebanon.) Tehran was so brazen in its support that, until the early '90s, it even carried a budgetary line-item. The investment paid off: Even after last year's Cedar Revolution, southern Lebanon remains under Hezbollah's control. Islamic Jihad remains a force.

Just as the Revolutionary Guards helped hone Hezbollah into a deadly force, so do they train the Badr Corps, Sciri's militia. The Badr Corps infiltrated Iraq even before U.S. forces reached Baghdad. This was reflected in the black market of Sadr City where the price of Iraqi documents rose while those of Iranian passports fell. The Iranian strategy was laid bare with its choice of representations. Its first chargé-d'affaires in post-Saddam Iraq was Hassan Kazemi Qomi, the Revolutionary Guard's former liaison to Hezbollah in Lebanon. Nor did Sciri hide its affiliation. In January 2004, a yellow Lebanese Hezbollah flag flew from Sciri's headquarters in the southern city of Basra.

Iraq's subsequent experience reflects the evolution of Hezbollah tactics. In Lebanon, Revolutionary Guard advisers imbued young Lebanese with a cult of martyrdom. Hezbollah suicide bombers moved with deadly accuracy, ultimately driving U.S. and multinational peacekeepers out of Lebanon. In 1984, Hezbollah added kidnapping to its repertoire. The Revolutionary Guards provided intelligence to the kidnappers and, in some cases, interrogated the victims. The group seized several dozen foreigners, including 17 Americans. Just as in Iraq, journalists received no immunity. In 1987, Hezbollah held ABC's chief Middle East correspondent hostage for two months. Just as in Iraq, the kidnappers sought both to win material concession and shake Western confidence.

Increasingly sophisticated bombs also accompanied Hezbollah's rise. The improvised explosive device has become the bane of coalition patrols. In October 2005, Tony Blair confirmed that bombs used to kill eight British soldiers in Iraq were of a type used by Iran's Revolutionary Guards and its Hezbollah proxies. When pressed in a November 2005 meeting in Sweileh, Jordan, an Iraqi Sunni insurgent leader acknowledged to me the "possibility" that some Iraqi Sunni insurgents took Iranian money, albeit unknowingly.

While Washington wrings its hands over the Samarra bombing, it should not play into Iranian hands and repeat the mistake of Najaf: Following the Aug. 29, 2003 bombing at the shrine of Imam Ali, coalition authorities acquiesced to demands to empower militias for security. Once implanted, militias take root. Iran is patient. While Washington rejoices in short-term calm, Tehran looks to long-term influence.

As in southern Lebanon, what cannot be won through bribery is imposed through intimidation. Neither Hezbollah nor Iraq's Shiite militias tolerate dissent. Constitutions mean little and law even less. In southern Lebanon, Hezbollah is judge, jury and executioner. In Iraq, the Shiite militias do likewise. Militiamen have broken up coed picnics, executed barbers and liquor store owners, instituted their own courts, and posted religious guards in front of girls' schools to ensure Iranian-style dress.

Force, though, is not the only component of the Hezbollah playbook. In Lebanon, Hezbollah used Iranian money to create an extensive social service network. It funded schools, food banks and job centers. It's a tried and true strategy. When I lived in Dushanbe toward the end of Tajikistan's civil war, babushkas lined up under Khomeini's portrait to pick up food from the Imam Khomeini Relief Committee. Driving through Shiite neighborhoods of Baghdad, similar scenes unfold. While the U.S. Embassy boasts billions of dollars spent, it has little to show ordinary Iraqis for its efforts. Not so the Shiite militias. Mr. al-Hakim's son Amar has opened branches of his Shahid al-Mihrab Establishment for Promoting Islam throughout southern Iraq. They distribute food and gifts of money, so long as patrons pledge their allegiance. For impoverished Iraqis lacking electricity and livelihood, it's an easy decision.

U.S. officials have no strategy to counter this. At a recent American Enterprise Institute panel, James Jeffrey, the State Department's Iraq coordinator, said, "We don't believe in bags of money in the middle of the night like [the Iranians] do." In principle this is fine; in reality it is a recipe for defeat: While Tehran understands the importance of patronage networks, Washington does not. While U.S. funds go to Bechtel and Halliburton, Iran-backed groups address Iraqis' immediate needs. And not only is U.S. policy ineffective, but Foggy Bottom ineptitude has bolstered Tehran. Take Bayan Jabr, a Sciri functionary who, with U.S. acquiescence, became Iraq's Interior Minister: He has transformed the Iraqi police into a Badr Corps jobs program. According to one Iraqi minister, he has employed 1% of the Najaf workforce. These recruits do little, they receive a salary courtesy of the U.S. Congress, and the Badr Corps reaps the gratitude.

* * *

The final part of Hezbollah's strategy is information warfare. Since 1991, it has used al-Manar TV to spread its message. Iran founded Al-Alam for the same purpose and succeeded in beginning broadcasts three months before the U.S.-funded Iraqi Media Network commenced. Well-endowed, al-Alam provided cars and video cameras to students, making them correspondents and promising rewards to those providing footage embarrassing to the U.S. mission.

It is in the info-war that Washington has stumbled most severely. The U.S. operates in Iraq as if the country is a vacuum. Sheltered within the Green Zone, diplomats are oblivious to enemy propaganda. Resistance to occupation is Hezbollah's mantra. It is a theme both the Badr Corps and firebrand cleric Muqtada al-Sadr's Mahdi Army adopted. Why then did Foggy Bottom acquiesce on May 22, 2003 to U.N. Security Council Resolution 1483 which formalized U.S. and Britain as "occupying powers." What U.S. diplomats meant as an olive branch to pro-U.N. European allies was, in reality, hemlock. With the stroke of a pen, liberation became occupation: Al-Manar and Al-Alam barraged ordinary Iraqis with montages glorifying "resistance." They then highlighted U.S. fallibility with images of withdrawal from Vietnam, Lebanon and Somalia.

Tehran has a formula for success in Iraq; Washington does not. Victory will require U.S. diplomats to recognize that any successful policy must include strategies not only to promote U.S. and Iraqi interests, but also to derail our adversaries' strategy. Iran's methods are clear. Less clear is U.S. resolve. The stakes in Iraq are high, and one side is playing for keeps. Are we?

Mr. Rubin, resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, is editor of Middle East Quarterly.

Ports of Gall
February 25, 2006; Page A10

"I also believe that winning the war on terror will not happen by military strength alone. This is fundamentally about America's values and leadership. . . . The idea of winning hearts and minds has been derided by some. But I don't think that we can overlook its singular importance. . ."

-- Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, February 25, 2004

In Mrs. Clinton's "hearts and minds" crusade, this will not go down as a good week. A United Arab Emirates government allied with America, that provides a Persian Gulf base for U.S. military operations, and that was the first Middle Eastern country to join the U.S. Container Security Initiative, has been rewarded with Congressional demagoguery that a company it owns can't be trusted to manage commercial operations in U.S. ports. With Mrs. Clinton herself leading the jeers.

And why? For no other reason than that it would be an Arab-owned company. If it is "foreign" ownership that's alarming, the same politicians would also be denouncing the Chinese, Singaporean and British companies that already manage some U.S. port operations. So the message that all Arabs need not apply comes through loud and clear.

By the way, to make this argument does not mean we are accusing critics of racism. We are accusing them of error, not to rule out stupidity. These columns have long supported profiling young Middle Eastern-looking men in airport screening, for example, as a way of reducing the odds of another 9/11. But Mrs. Clinton was absolutely correct to note back in 2004 that to win the war on terror we need Arab and Muslim allies. And trashing friends who are engaging in legitimate commercial transactions is not a good way to keep those allies.

It is also not a good way to convince the world that we mean what we say about free trade and investment. The port-management business is dominated by non-American companies in part because high labor costs drove U.S. firms out of the business. That's also in part the handiwork of the International Longshoremen's Association, an affiliate of the protectionist AFL-CIO.

And, lo, the New York Sun reported this week that "nearly every politician who has been at the forefront of the opposition to the Dubai deal is on the receiving end of some Longshoreman largesse" in the form of campaign contributions. They include New York Representatives Peter King (R), Jerry Nadler (D) and Vito Fossella (R) and Senators Clinton, Robert Menendez (D., N.J.), Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Chris Dodd (D., Conn.) and Barbara Boxer (D., Calif.).

Another sign of the protectionism at work here is the call to give Congress a larger say in vetting such transactions. But the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S. (CFIUS), the interagency panel that reviewed the DP World contract, is an executive branch function precisely to avoid the parochial concerns that dominate Congress. If Congress ran CFIUS, every Member would have a chance to interfere with every private foreign investment.

In fact, under the CFIUS statute Congress is barred from being involved in the review process until it is over, and the political meddling we see with respect to the DP World deal is the reason. Such confidentiality is important because companies are often asked to disclose proprietary information to the government. This also explains why the Bush Administration didn't brief Congress up and down about the deal in advance.

To take seriously the political criticisms of the DP World deal, you must also take seriously the notion that President Bush has suddenly gone soft on security. So the same Administration that's criticized for being overly obsessed with terrorism suddenly can't be trusted to vet a routine deal involving terminal management at a handful of U.S. ports. We can understand why some Democrats would want to make this case; the shame is that so many conservatives and Republicans have taken their political bait.

The good news is that we elect Presidents to represent the national interest on these issues, even if it means taking political heat for doing so. That's what Mr. Bush has been doing this week, and in the process he's caused some of the original yahoos to educate themselves before they demagogue again. We've also learned something about the political character of certain would-be Presidents, such as the junior Senator from New York and Majority Leader Bill Frist, who also joined the early critics. Using "national security" as an excuse for protectionism is not the best way to win anyone's "hearts and minds."

Chinese Consumers Overwhelm Retailers With Team Tactics

Mr. Zhang Haggles With Gang Over Cost of Cabinets; 'Let's Talk About Price'

By JAMES T. AREDDY
February 28, 2006; Page A1

SUZHOU, China -- Seller beware: Some of China's 1.3 billion consumers are angling for group discounts.

Chinese shoppers have long been known as hard-nosed bargainers. Now, to the dismay of merchants, some have started shopping in teams to haggle for bigger markdowns.

The practice, called tuangou, or team purchase, begins in Internet chat rooms, where like-minded consumers hatch plans to buy appliances, furnishings, food, even cars, in bulk. Next, they show up en masse at stores like Suzhou Zhongyi Kitchen Co. to demand discounts.

On a recent Saturday, Zhang Qinyong, who owns the kitchen-cabinetry shop in this city near Shanghai, found himself cornered against his display cabinets by a team of more than a dozen shoppers.

"In Suzhou, no other products are better than ours, I bet," he told the crowd. He insisted that craftsmanship and German materials made his cabinets worth more.

"Forget quality. Let's talk about price," snapped one member of the buying group, 36-year-old Guo Yong, an electrical engineer. For the next hour, the shoppers turned aside Mr. Zhang's sales pitches with an unbending response: "Thirty-five percent off!"

[Cai Kun]
Cai Kun with the Chevrolet Aveo he bought with a team-purchase discount in Shanghai.

Successful haggling is a point of pride in China, where even shoppers in department stores treat price tags as mere starting points. The practice is gaining popularity at a time of unprecedented change in China's retail sector.

Name-brand consumer goods now fill the nation's stores, giving Chinese consumers more choice than ever before. In an increasingly competitive marketplace, merchants are quietly bending to consumer demands.

Group purchasing is catching on in booming cities such as Shanghai. On the Web site 51tuangou.com -- in Chinese, the name sounds like "I want to team buy" -- consumer teams formulate plans to bargain for products ranging from Buick automobiles to Panasonic television sets and refrigerators. Dozens of other Chinese Web sites offer similar services. EBay Inc.'s Chinese site offers potential bulk sellers of goods an option to solicit team bids.

Zhang Guohua, the 34-year-old founder of 51tuangou.com, says he decided to launch his Web site after saving money two years ago on bathroom fixtures for his new apartment. He arranged those purchases, he says, by posting messages in general-interest Internet chat rooms, listing the brands he planned to buy. "Let's meet at the shop," he wrote. Many did. "I was really shocked by the power of ganging up," Mr. Zhang says.

Last year, he says, 380,000 consumers registered to use his Web site, free of charge, to organize group purchases. He says he gets his profit from ads and commissions from companies that offer discounts on the site.

In the U.S. and Europe, several Web-based businesses were set up in the late 1990s to arrange discounts on group purchases of consumer goods. But customers were turned off by the amount of time it took to complete transactions and other complications, and many of the Internet businesses failed.

China's version of team buying, however, leads to face-to-face negotiations. "That's a little scary, the mob mentality," says Tom Van Horn, former chief executive officer of Mercata Inc., whose now-defunct Web site attempted to negotiate bulk discounts for U.S. consumers.

In Shanghai, when Cai Kun decided in December to buy a new General Motors Corp. subcompact, the Chevrolet Aveo, he logged onto a Web site where others were chatting about staging a team purchase. On a Saturday morning, 28-year-old Mr. Cai and 17 others met for the first time at Anji Mingmen Car Services Co., a Chevy showroom in downtown Shanghai. As planned, they told the dealership's manager they would buy 18 Aveos in one pop -- but only if he would cut roughly 10% off sticker prices as high as $12,862.

Negotiations went on for six hours. Group members broke away occasionally for private meetings. The dealer tried unsuccessfully to negotiate separately with buyers who wanted the more expensive SX model and those who didn't. In the end, the group extracted a discount of nearly 9% on a fleet of 18 Aveo cars, along with gifts such as car-wash vouchers, says one buyer. Group members such as Mr. Cai who bought the fancier Aveo SX AT, for instance, agreed to pay $11,712, about 8.9% below the sticker price. Individual buyers can normally expect a discount of as much as 6%, Shanghai Chevrolet dealers say.

Yang Feng, sales manager of the dealership that provided the discount, declines to talk about individual deals. "Team purchases aren't common," he says. "But if more than 10 buyers come together, we can give them a cheaper price than we do individuals."

Some manufacturers don't like the practice. Some Chinese dealers of sinks and toilets made by Kohler Co., for example, have offered group discounts via Mr. Zhang's Web site. The company, based in Kohler, Wis., said in a statement: "Kohler does not support team purchases via the Internet as it purely supports competition based on price."

Chinese dealers of BMW AG's luxury cars typically provide 2% discounts for four-car orders, says Jiao Jian, fleet sales manager at Shanghai Bowdex Motor Co., a BMW importer. But such discounts are intended primarily for companies ordering more than one car, not strangers who meet on the Web. In an internal memo this year, the dealership urged employees not to capitulate to buying groups set up for the sole purpose of getting a discount, Mr. Jiao says.

Cosmetics group Estee Lauder Inc. and Cartier, the jeweler owned by France's Compagnie Financire Richemont SA, say they stop team-buying at the door with fixed-price policies.

The team buyers who targeted Mr. Zhang's cabinet shop, most of them new homeowners in their 20s and 30s, met on an Internet bulletin board, where earlier postings revealed that another team last year had squeezed a 35% discount from Mr. Zhang. For two weeks, they plotted strategy, and team members visited his shop individually to view the cabinets. "If we have more people, we can of course get more discount," said one of their Internet postings.

Nearby cabinet shops were nearly vacant when more than a dozen team members filed into Mr. Zhang's store one Saturday afternoon this month and began haggling for a 35% discount. More than an hour later, Mr. Zhang appeared to be wearing down. He directed an assistant to type up and distribute an offer: 30% off cabinets, 15% off hinges and free gifts to the team.

Three hours after the group arrived, some team members continued to press for a bigger discount. Ten had put down deposits on the package offer, including Mr. Guo and his wife, who agreed to pay $875 for new cabinets. They chose Mr. Zhang's shop, they say, only because they saw the team forming on the Internet. "Last year I bought wooden flooring this way," Mr. Guo says. "I don't have too much money."

Sunday, February 12, 2006

The fapiao experience

The Fapiao -- When you pay you get a receipt (pronounced my-dan) and a fapiao. A fapiao is basically a type of monetary receipt that you receive in different denominations (5s, 10s, 20s, 50s, 100s, 1000s) for certain purchases. For expats, the fapiao is the key to your tax deduction/reimbursement. It is VERY important. Most expats have a living allowance and you get reimbursed for that living allowance by the gov't with your fapiao. It's a way for the gov't to get you to spend more in China, which is good for their economy.

Depending on your contract, you can turn in your fapiao for different and limited expenses and be reimbursed. There is also a cap (different for each expat) for how much you can turn in each month. For example, at a consulate you can only turn them in for your grocery purchases. Others receive them for different expenses such as meals, transportation, education, laundry or rent. It all depends.

As you can imagine, the expats have gotten rather creative and "help" each other by trading them. If I don't get to turn in my fapiao for groceries, I find a friend that does and they give me their fapiao for meals at restaurants to that we can all turn hit the cap each month. If you use less than your cap, you pay more in taxes. Taxes in China are roughly 35% of income. By hitting your cap, you are basically decreasing the amount of your taxable income, similar to putting money in a 401k and health savings account before your salary is taxed in the U.S.

Another way, you can get fapiao is when friends come to visit on business or for pleasure. If they're here on business they only need a receipt to get reimbursed at work but they can also request a fapiao and give it to you. Same goes for family and friends.

The other thing the fapiao phenomenon leads to is heavy spending at the end of the month as you try to hit your cap. It's is not uncommon for people to go our for very expensive meals, buy lots of ground coffee at SBUX, etc. to reach their limit.

Music While You Shop -- When you go shopping in Shanghai, you never know what might be playing on the radio in the store...or outside it. The selections can be very diverse. The Carpenters appear to be a big deal here because I regularly hear their AM hits on the radio or in stores. Rap is also a regular selection in upscale stores that cater to the young and wealthy and also in the streets. It's actually funny to hear rather raunchy rap playing. To hear the expletives and other American slang is funny, not offensive, because even as an American you can barely make out the words, so you wonder how they do.

Chinese New Year continued -- Tonight, Feb. 12, is the first full moon of the CNY. And, you guessed it, the sky is alight with fireworks and firecrackers...AGAIN. This is the third night that they've been really active (CNY Eve, official end of CNY three days later and tonight). There are fewer tonight but it's still impressive. We're already bracing for the new moon and more fireworks.

Cold Foods -- The Chinese supposedly aren't big fans of cold foods. I've been told by a couple that American favorites (deli foods, cereal, sandwiches, etc.) just aren't popular here. Given what the folks in my office eat each day for lunch, this would appear to be true. Almost everything I've seen them eat for meals has been warm/hot.

Tuesday, February 07, 2006

Troubled Continent: A crisis of demography — and of the spirit

Troubled Continent
A crisis of demography — and of the spirit

MICHAEL NOVAK

The images we recently saw on the TV news suggest that Europe has, once again, lost its way. It looks as though Europe is set to repeat in the 21st century the disasters of the 20th.

Europe — especially France and Germany — seems to have a love affair with collectivism. Europeans refuse to learn the lessons of collectivisms past; they certainly fear liberty, especially in economics. Worse still, European elites have done their withering best to empty Europe of its Christian spirit. They have swept Europe clean just in time for the rapid rise of a rival faith prolific with children, vitality, passion, and confidence in long-term victory. What Muslims of the 16th century could not accomplish at Malta (1565) or Lepanto (1571), nor Muslims of the 17th century at Vienna (1683), they are beginning to accomplish in contemporary Europe. Europe is becoming Eurabia.

One could see this in “France ablaze” during the nights of October 27–November 12, 2005. On some of those nights, across some 300 French cities, more than 1,000 automobiles were being set afire. The young men involved did not look impoverished, and they did not look “angry.” Their clothing was modish and expensive, in the style of American “gangsta rappers.” Their faces radiated exultation. These young men are in the pay of the state, through unemployment insurance — paid for not working. But honor they do not receive: In French employment markets, Hamid and Abdul see that they are not held equal to Pierre and André. They are housed, fed, and clothed, and left to graze upon the land. In the eyes of others they can see that they are regarded as less than cultivated human beings. Few see in them any vision, enterprise, or energy to contribute to the glory of France.

When the French government had earlier said, with reference to Iraq, that Islam is not compatible with democracy, it said to these youths that their lives too are incompatible with democracy, at least in France. The young men could see that the government of France held them in fear, and as young men they enjoyed that. They will remember this lesson.

In all these sad events, we see that Europe has forgotten what made it great in nobility of soul and spirited accomplishment, and for many centuries great also in courage and victory in battle.

SOURCES OF GREATNESS

The distinguished sociologist Rodney Stark has just published a book, The Victory of Reason, about why Europe surged beyond all other civilizations in the past millennium. Europe’s greatness, he writes, arose chiefly from a vision of human possibility descended from the Creator of all things: a vision of reason, freedom, and progress — and also a drama of free will, refusal, and sin. Even some atheists, in honest clarity, admit how Jewish/Christian faith lifted up Europe among the continents, and inspired a vision of universal amity and mutual assistance — especially to the most vulnerable among us — that haunts persons of compassion still. One does not have to believe in God to see the power of that faith in lifting the horizons of human accomplishment. If you wish to see its monuments in Europe, look around you.

In the 20th century, sadly, Europe decisively chose against this faith, in favor of the lesser vision of the Enlightenment — and bathed the dream of Universal Reason in universal bloodshed. Neither Communism nor Fascism, once the passionate enthusiasm of hundreds of millions, left much behind of which to be proud, or even beautiful to contemplate. Instead Europe still suffers from nightmares, from spasms of guilt and unworthiness. Europeans today wear signs on their backs that read: Kick me again! Whence come these self-loathings? When one feels guilt, and there is no longer any God, there is no one to confess to.

Europe now carries a very heavy burden. Its two great passions are peace and security — but you cannot have peace unless you are willing to prepare for war; and you cannot have security unless you are willing to take risks. Few signs indicate that Europe is willing to do these simple things. In the past, that has always proved costly for America.

This lack of vigor shows itself in demographics. Very soon there will be far too few European workers to pay for the benefits of a much larger cohort of retirees, who will live longer and more expensively than any other retired generation in history. In an era of barely one child per married couple (with many couples not even marrying), we now have an Italy in which virtually no child has a brother or a sister. For the state, such families will mean fiscal bankruptcy; for rival ethnic groups, religions, and civilizations abroad, such numbers will telegraph fateful weakness.

There are still pockets of will and vitality. But having turned away from Jewish and Christian faith, a Europe based solely upon the Enlightenment cannot long survive. The Europe that is declining in population is a Europe more rational than Europe has ever been, more scientific, less religious, less pious, more mundane, wealthier, more consumerist, more universally close to living etsi Deus non daretur (as if God does not exist). A very large part of the “European crisis” is the crisis of the Enlightenment. On that ground, a civilization cannot be built, a civilization can only burn down to the last waxed threads of its wick.

For the beginning of culture is cult. Apart from the worship of God, human beings cannot in practice (whatever may be said in theory) transcend themselves — not, at least, in the large numbers needed to sustain a civilization. Unless human beings have a vision of something larger than their own natures, and beyond the bounds of their own natures, they cannot be pulled out of themselves; they cannot be inspired; and they will not aspire, in the way that Gothic steeples aspire. To be sure, there are secular ways to interpret the word “transcendence”: as some potential already within human beings to break their own records, to go beyond what has already been achieved in order to achieve new marks, and the like. But that is not the sort of transcendence on which civilizations are built. Real transcendence is from outside, a new form of life, a new human nature, an uplifting into participation in the divine. This transcendence is known to all religions, and is sensed by many artists. It is a new dimension of the human spirit, which does not spring from human potential, but is given from outside. It is experienced as an uplifting, a newness, a vision and a vitality not within one’s own powers to achieve or to deserve. It comes as a gift.

Only the type of transcendence that points to the divine inspires a civilization or a culture, properly so called. Ancient Chinese culture, worldly in its practical Confucian wisdom, aspired to harmony with the stars and the will of Heaven. As yeast lifts dough, so the great religions of the world have informed and inspired cultures. A merely secular culture instead reduces human beings to creatures of chance, deprives them of any end for which they were purposely created, and renders universal moral principles into pragmatic bargains or subjective personal preferences. While it often promotes highly moral living, a secular culture can give few reasons for such living except personal preference, and in ethical practice it frequently borrows a sensibility and even concepts formed by an earlier religious heritage. The social morals of a secular culture these days tend also to depend upon moral credits stored up in the past. Even such supposedly secular values as compassion, liberty, fraternity, and equality sprang first from Jewish and Christian moral commitments, as even Richard Rorty notices — not from Greece or Rome or any purely philosophical source.

It might seem, then, that secular cultures are solely parasitic upon earlier religious cultures. But they sometimes play a creative role in putting questions to religious concepts that result in the deepening, revision, or withdrawal of earlier versions. For instance, the struggle for religious toleration in Virginia (1776–1791) led to a deeper comprehension of the grounds, in large part religious, of liberty of conscience. (If a rational creature owes a self-evident duty of worship to his Creator, no state, civil society, or individual may alienate him from that duty; and the Jewish-Christian God, to whom that inalienable duty is owed, wishes to be worshiped in spirit and truth, by a free conscience.) Thus, in America, even natural right had a historical religious content. The thinking of Judaism and Christianity has benefited greatly from this and other challenges by secular thinkers, just as the latter have borrowed much from the former. The contestation between believer and unbeliever has been very fruitful for Western civilization as a whole.

When, in 1948, Europe wished to preserve itself from absorption into the Communist bloc, it turned to the Christian political parties. Later, it turned to the religious leadership of nonviolent labor unions such as Solidarity, and to church human-rights activists, in order to find a bloodless, democratic path. Apart from the extraordinary skills and the saintly charisma of John Paul the Great, it is not easy to explain how so much happened — so fast, and so peacefully — during the years 1978–1991. The Pope began his pontificate in the late autumn of 1978 by saying that the “twin branches” of Christian Europe would be reunited soon. Impossibly utopian, I remember thinking at the time.

One must conclude that Judaism and Christianity are still great powers slumbering in the soul of Europe. But secular Europe unaccountably does not want to draw upon them. We live in the age of the Grand Refusal: the age of Denial.

OLD FAITHS AND NEW THREATS

Islamic thought up until this time does not separate religion from politics, either analytically or in practice, exactly as Westerners do. Today, for example, we who are American, Italian, French, German, and so on do not think of ourselves as “Crusaders,” although a fair number of Muslims call us by that name. They know as well as we do how secular France is, for example, and their best writers often write of that, a few in admiration, others in disgust. That fact does not prevent them from lumping the French into the “Crusaders.”

In the view of some Muslims, the religion of Islam is not really distinguishable from the one, united, universal Islamic caliphate and its military vanguard. This singular Islam has been at war with “infidels,” they think, since its founding. This unitary Islam — politics, military, and religion all grasped as one single entity — has been at war with “Crusaders” ever since the latter found the nerve and the gall to resist, after about four centuries of fairly supine retreat, and then the effrontery to take back the Christian heartland, from Constantinople to Jerusalem to Alexandria.

Toulouse, France, November 2005
Bordas/Sipa

Then, quite shocked, beginning about 1150, the Muslims, in return, began gathering their forces for another protracted assault to subdue Christian Europe once and for all. City by city, they took back the whole once-Christian Middle East. Probing westward, they failed at Malta in 1565, in one of history’s greatest sieges, and failed again at Lepanto in 1571 (Miguel Cervantes, a warrior in that naval battle, called it the greatest occasion of all history). Their overland advance through Hungary then made great strides until, just outside Vienna, they were prevented from cutting Northern Europe from Southern by the cavalry of Jan Sobieski, bearing at its forefront the painting of Our Lady of Czestochowa. The year was 1683, the date was September 11–September 12, a date of high symbolic value to Muslims, a date in September Americans too will long remember.

Europeans and Americans today do not think often of those battles of the Crusades, which seem so long ago and so irrelevant. Yet today the Muslim population of Europe is growing very rapidly, not only by immigration, but also by multiple births per family. Demographically, Muslim morale is very high. They are as it were investing with their bodies in the future, in a way Europeans are not. Already in various European states, there are important political districts in which Islamic constituencies predominate. In some cities, the number of new mosques is rising steadily, while the number of Christian churches actually in use continues to fall (partly from widespread lapses in religious practice). Some of the most ardent terrorists and political extremists among young Muslim radicals today are being raised in European cities, of second- or third-generation immigrants. Some Muslims in the past integrated themselves into European societies, mores, and political values. Many today, it appears, are making no effort to do so. On the contrary, they are resisting what some call the “moral decadence” of Western values, and some also resist the highest political principles of Western peoples.

Until recently, one of the expectations of Western democracies was that all immigrants would shortly embrace the core values, at least the political values, of their host countries. It is not yet clear what will happen to the functioning of democracies if sizable groups of immigrants do not wish to do so. A vulgar form of Euro-modern multiculturalism assumes that all cultures are equal in their moral and political preferences, as if underneath the skin, deep in their hearts, all peoples were universalist liberals. In a variety of circumstances, that is turning out not to be true: The long-term dangers of radical, alienated European Muslims feeding the leadership of worldwide terrorism are already being felt.

Europe needs to have a realistic understanding of the degree of benevolent competition, and long-term hostile threat, that it must expect from Muslim peoples, given the widespread lack of economic opportunity, and the fairly closed political outlets, of Middle Eastern societies during the past 50 years. One would think it in the high and urgent interest of Europe to set a new and different dynamic to work in that part of the world, which is so close to them. It is also necessary for Europeans to come to a clearer understanding of the intense hatred for and violent opposition to democracy of a small but intense faction of extremists who claim to be Islamists, for whom an adequate and accurate name seems to be Islamofascists. These are the factions led by the Saudi Arabian Osama bin Laden and the Jordanian Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.

LOSING THE FUTURE?

The resurgence of religious conviction in the Muslim world (often not at all fused with political radicalism, but imbued rather with a longing to live under a regime of rights and individual dignity) does bring into sharp relief the most acute weakness of European culture today: the desert it has made of religious conviction, once its richest source of vision, courage, and practical good sense. And this depletion of spiritual resources is not unconnected to the recent European habit of demonizing capitalism. European elites reserve a special hostility for Anglo-Saxon economic thought, especially the liberating ideas emanating from Austria by way of Friedrich von Hayek and Ludwig von Mises, with their emphasis on incentives, enterprise, risk, flexibility, and liberty. These ideas cut very sharply against Communist, statist, and social-democratic emphases on stasis, security, and privileges won, and against their intemperate denunciations of business, enterprise, corporations, and wealth-creation. Without going so far as to hold that losing money is chaste, the European Left even holds that making money, creating wealth, and reaping profits are all obscene. The economies of the Left rarely do make money, create wealth, or show profits. Their economic chastity is their own punishment.

Given the demographic crisis mentioned earlier, it will be essential for Europe in the near future to create much more new wealth than its economies have ever been required to create before, simply to pay benefits due to the large proportion of retirees (compared with workers) in their economies. Social-welfare economies were constructed on the basis of a proportion of about nine, or at least seven, workers to every retiree. In Europe, the actual proportion will all too soon approach three workers per retiree. To make matters worse, most retirees were originally expected to die not long after their 65th birthday, but now very large numbers of them are living past 85. They will require their pensions to be paid for many more years than the planners of the welfare state ever imagined. In addition, medical care for them has become far more sophisticated and vastly more expensive than anyone dreamed 50 years ago. In Europe, it really is time to stop the show of disdain for economies that work better than Europe’s, at least in creating new jobs for an ever-expanding workforce, and in steadily raising living standards for all.

Europe will find during the next 30 years that it desperately needs alliance with the United States, for many reasons. It is utterly clear to Americans that in the immense challenges looming ahead in the 21st century — from China and India, as well as the Middle East — we will desperately need an alliance with a strong and united Europe. That is why the prospect of a Europe beset with sickness of soul, and with illusions about its own spiritual health, worry us deeply. We very much need Europe to be successful — and soon.

Mr. Novak holds the George Frederick Jewett Chair in religion and public policy at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington, D.C., where he is director of social and political studies. This article is adapted from remarks he delivered in Venice, Italy, on November 18, 2005.

Sunday, February 05, 2006

articles 2/5

Facts vs. Fiction: A Report from the Front
By Karl Zinsmeister

TAE's editor in chief answers the most common queries about how the war is faring after his fourth extended tour in the last two and a half years.


How Divided Are We?
by James Q. Wilson

The polarization in our politics is real; so are its damaging consequences.

Israel's Media Problem
by Hillel Halkin

Reporters in the region do not acquire their biases accidentally.

Will Israel Blast the Iranian Bomb?
By Michael Karpin
Iran continues on the path to atomic weaponry. Will Israel put an end to the problem?

Sick of Sausage
Today's Voters Crave Ideology

An Intolerable Threat
What A World With An Iranian Nuclear Weapon Would Look Like

Europe's New Dissidents.
Middle-Eastern Repression Comes To The Continent

An Energy Revolution
By Robert Zubrin
A breakthrough that could preclude future wars by defunding our enemies.

Howard Dean's Egregious Comments on Terrorist Surveillance
by Sen. Pat Roberts, Chairman, Senate Select Intell

The Rage
by David Warren

NY Times
Oil Graft Fuels The Insurgency, Iraq & U.S. Say

W. Post Magazine
Eden & Evolution
Evolution & Intelligent Design: What the War Between The Two Is Really About

WSJ Editorial
President's Bush's Startling Left Turn On Energy Policy

Business Week
Why The Economy Is A Lot Stronger Than You Might Think

The Silence of the Good News
An explosive jobs report and Bush says nothing? What’s up?
by Larry Kudlow

Iraq Blogger: Notes From Trenches
A former Green Beret heads for Iraq to see what's happening in the war zone. His pro-military blog portrays the horrors of war differently than the Army public relations department does.

Looking For The Lie
Scientists are using brain imaging and other tools as new kinds of lie detectors. But trickier even than finding the source of deception might be navigating a world without it.

I Spy

Amateur satellite spotters can track everything that government spymasters blast into orbit. Except the stealth bird codenamed Misty.

The Beatles Now
by Terry Teachout

No one has matched their success, but is their music worth listening to?